After Repair Value (ARV): The Foundation of Every Deal
ARV is the single most important number in a fix-and-flip deal. Master the art and science of estimating it accurately.
The grid method is how professional appraisers produce defensible valuations. Learn the technique every investor should know.
The adjusted sales comparison approach, commonly called the grid method, is the gold standard for residential property valuation. It's the method used by licensed appraisers and the foundation of credible investor valuations. Mastering it separates professional investors from amateurs.
The method starts with identifying 3–6 comparable sales. For each comp, you list key attributes: sale date, sale price, square footage, bedroom count, bathroom count, lot size, garage, basement, and condition. The subject property is listed with the same attributes.
Next, you calculate adjustments for each attribute difference. For example, if a comp has 200 more square feet than the subject, and the market rate is $40 per square foot, you subtract $8,000 from the comp's sale price (because the comp is bigger and therefore worth more than the subject by that amount). If the subject has an extra bathroom that the comp lacks, you add $8,000 to the comp (making the comp more equivalent to the subject).
After adjustments, you calculate an adjusted sale price for each comp. The tighter the range of adjusted values, the more confident your conclusion. A good grid analysis typically produces adjusted values within a 5–8% range. If your range is wider, you likely have comps that aren't truly comparable.
Reconciliation is the final step. You weight the comps based on similarity to the subject, the quality of the comp, and the quantity of adjustments required. A comp requiring $5,000 in total adjustments is more reliable than one requiring $50,000. The reconciled value is your opinion of market value.
Common grid method mistakes include using comps that are too distant geographically or temporally, over-adjusting for minor features, ignoring condition and quality differences, and failing to weight comps by quality. The grid is a tool for discipline, not a magic formula, its value comes from forcing you to think systematically about what drives value in your market.
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