After Repair Value (ARV): The Foundation of Every Deal
ARV is the single most important number in a fix-and-flip deal. Master the art and science of estimating it accurately.
Price per square foot is ubiquitous in real estate but often misused. Here's how to use it correctly.
Price per square foot (PPSF) is calculated by dividing sale price by livable square footage. It's the most commonly cited valuation metric in real estate because it's simple, intuitive, and easy to compare across properties. It's also one of the most misused.
PPSF is useful for comparing similar properties in the same submarket. Within a single neighborhood, where properties are roughly similar in age, lot size, and quality, PPSF can rapidly highlight over- and under-priced listings. If most nearby sales are $180–$210 per square foot and a new listing is at $240, that's a signal worth investigating.
The limitations emerge as soon as you leave that narrow use case. PPSF does not scale linearly, smaller homes almost always have higher PPSF than larger homes, because fixed value components (kitchen, one bathroom, utilities) are spread across fewer square feet. A 1,200 sq ft home might trade at $250/sqft while a 2,800 sq ft home in the same neighborhood trades at $190/sqft, without either being over- or under-priced.
PPSF also ignores lot size, which can be a dominant value driver in many markets. A home on a quarter-acre lot will typically have a much higher PPSF than an identical home on a half-acre lot, because the larger lot contains more value not reflected in square footage.
Other factors PPSF ignores include age, condition, location premiums within a neighborhood, finish quality, view, and floor plan efficiency. Two homes with identical square footage can differ by 20%+ in market value due to these factors.
The correct use: PPSF is a screening and sanity-checking tool. The grid method is for conclusions. If your grid analysis produces a value that translates to a PPSF far outside neighborhood norms, recheck your comps and adjustments. If it aligns with neighborhood PPSF, you have two independent validations of your opinion of value.
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